Mike’s Real Estate Show

 

7 Tips for the New Investor.Please READ!

January 7th, 2007 . by Mike Kelly

Here’s a great article from “Broker/Agent News”.( http://www.brokeragentnews.com/) It is a web site for Realtors and consumers. I thought you might find it interesting.
By Eric Bramlett

http://www.brokeragentnews.com/news/residential/2007_1/1_5_2007_gg_1168061966.html

1. It’s not as easy as it looks on TV

“Flip This House” is a fantastic television program - that’s about as realistic for the average investor as “Sponge Bob Square Pants.” The problem with TV real estate investment programs is that they downplay the work involved, and accentuate the money made by the investors. “Flip This House” will show you a tidy $150,000 profit wrapped up in a 30 minute episode. What they’re not showing you is the work done to find the property under market value, build the industry relationships necessary to tackle a sizeable project, the skills necessary to manage that project, and the market knowledge to accurately predict that properties final sales price. Bottom line is: investing is hard. It can be, however, very lucrative.

2. Walk before you run.

So many “investors” decide one day that it’s time for them to make millions in the market, and begin looking for that perfect flip, or perfect rental property - with a hefty price tag. Would you walk out of your door today to run a marathon without training? Absolutely not! Investing is very similar. There are MANY mistakes you can make, and one big mistake can turn an investment sour. The best way to minimize your risk is to start out small, and reduce your variable costs. If you’re buying an income producing property, purchase one that’s already rented out - preferably to long term tenants. That way, you can do research on a tenant’s credit worthiness BEFORE you’ve taken the leap and bought the property. You’ll also know exactly how much cash flow your new property will generate. If you’re buying a rehabilitation project, it’s often the carrying costs that can overwhelm a new investor. If, at all possible, buy your rehab project as your home - that way you can take your time without paying the consequences. If that’s not possible, then build in PLENTY of carrying costs - around 6 months worth. Once you have a few investments under your built, you’ll be able to accurately predict your variable costs, keep them lower, and make more profit.

3. For Long Term Wealth - It’s a Marathon, Not a Sprint.

Many new “investors” come to me with the business model of “buying old houses and fixing them up.” This seems to be the easiest way to make money, but it’s not. Flipping houses takes skill, foresight, market knowledge, and market resources. Furthermore, flipping houses is hard work, and results in quick profits. Unless you take advantage of 1031 exchange, flipping houses results in short term capital gains. The true path to long-term wealth lies in income producing properties. Purchase an income property in a market you think will appreciate, hire a property management company, and forget about it. Let the check come in the mail once a month - this “mailbox money” will turn into your best friend. After you’ve let the property rent for 3, 5, even 7 years, check its value and you should be pleasantly surprised! The key here is that you didn’t have to put in very much work - you merely found a great property in an appreciating market, and let a passive investment earn big returns.

4. Use a Realtor You Trust - And Don’t Go After Their Commission.

Author Robert Kyosaki says, “Corporations have boards of directors. You should have one, too.” Good Realtors earn a sizeable income - and they’re worth every penny. The keyword here is “Good” because the real estate industry is like any other - there are plenty of bad agents. Don’t hire any agent that crosses your path; Make sure and interview plenty of Realtors and find one that works with investors, and personally invests. When you find your “Realtor Advisor” don’t go after their commission. Any good Realtor will have plenty of clients and you want to make sure that you’re not playing second fiddle to them.

5. Put Together a Business Plan, And Stick To It

The only time you can’t POSSIBLY lose money is before you invest it. That’s why putting together a solid business plan is the smartest action step you can take. Decide the type of property you plan to buy, what it will cost to purchase it, what it will cost you to hold the property, and how much income the process will produce for you. Most investors have a “formula” for buying properties - develop, borrow, or steal one. Write EVERYTHING down on paper and analyze every possible expense. Plan for the worst and anticipate how you will avoid the worst. Once you’ve put together your business plan and investing “formula” - Stick to it!!! Execution is key to successful investing.

6. When You See Something That Looks Good - Take Action!

I’ve worked with many investors that have excellent business plans, and great formulae, but who refuse to pull the trigger on something that looks good. There are MANY ways to back out of a contract, and if you hesitate when you see a good deal - another investor will already have tied the property up in their contract. In Texas , you typically pay $100 for a 10 day option period. You have 10 days to terminate the contract for ANY reason. In my opinion, not losing a good deal is well worth tying up MANY questionable deals at $100 a pop.

7. Try And Talk Yourself Out of the Deal

After you’ve put together your business plan and contracted a property, you need to look at every negative aspect of the property. Plan for the worst and hope for the best! Oftentimes, planning for the worst involves walking away from the transaction. After you’ve invested the time finding the property and the money to contract and inspect the property, you might feel emotionally invested. However, don’t let these feelings get in the way of making a smart financial decision. If you look at every possible negative that can happen in the transaction and you will still make a profit, then go for it. You can always minimize the negative variables. However, if the worst does happen, you will still have all the clothes on your back. No matter how hard it is, if it looks like you COULD lose money, walk away.

There’s big money in real estate investment, and there’s the potential for big losses, as well. Someone giving themselves the title of “investor” far from makes them an actual investor. Before you take the plunge, talk to plenty of educated investors with experience, and follow these simple steps.

Here’s a great article from “Broker/Agent News”. It is a web site for Realtors and consumers. I thought you might find it interesting.
by Eric Bramlett

1. It’s not as easy as it looks on TV

“Flip This House” is a fantastic television program - that’s about as realistic for the average investor as “Sponge Bob Square Pants.” The problem with TV real estate investment programs is that they downplay the work involved, and accentuate the money made by the investors. “Flip This House” will show you a tidy $150,000 profit wrapped up in a 30 minute episode. What they’re not showing you is the work done to find the property under market value, build the industry relationships necessary to tackle a sizeable project, the skills necessary to manage that project, and the market knowledge to accurately predict that properties final sales price. Bottom line is: investing is hard. It can be, however, very lucrative.

2. Walk before you run.

So many “investors” decide one day that it’s time for them to make millions in the market, and begin looking for that perfect flip, or perfect rental property - with a hefty price tag. Would you walk out of your door today to run a marathon without training? Absolutely not! Investing is very similar. There are MANY mistakes you can make, and one big mistake can turn an investment sour. The best way to minimize your risk is to start out small, and reduce your variable costs. If you’re buying an income producing property, purchase one that’s already rented out - preferably to long term tenants. That way, you can do research on a tenant’s credit worthiness BEFORE you’ve taken the leap and bought the property. You’ll also know exactly how much cash flow your new property will generate. If you’re buying a rehabilitation project, it’s often the carrying costs that can overwhelm a new investor. If, at all possible, buy your rehab project as your home - that way you can take your time without paying the consequences. If that’s not possible, then build in PLENTY of carrying costs - around 6 months worth. Once you have a few investments under your built, you’ll be able to accurately predict your variable costs, keep them lower, and make more profit.

3. For Long Term Wealth - It’s a Marathon, Not a Sprint.

Many new “investors” come to me with the business model of “buying old houses and fixing them up.” This seems to be the easiest way to make money, but it’s not. Flipping houses takes skill, foresight, market knowledge, and market resources. Furthermore, flipping houses is hard work, and results in quick profits. Unless you take advantage of 1031 exchange, flipping houses results in short term capital gains. The true path to long-term wealth lies in income producing properties. Purchase an income property in a market you think will appreciate, hire a property management company, and forget about it. Let the check come in the mail once a month - this “mailbox money” will turn into your best friend. After you’ve let the property rent for 3, 5, even 7 years, check its value and you should be pleasantly surprised! The key here is that you didn’t have to put in very much work - you merely found a great property in an appreciating market, and let a passive investment earn big returns.

4. Use a Realtor You Trust - And Don’t Go After Their Commission.

Author Robert Kyosaki says, “Corporations have boards of directors. You should have one, too.” Good Realtors earn a sizeable income - and they’re worth every penny. The keyword here is “Good” because the real estate industry is like any other - there are plenty of bad agents. Don’t hire any agent that crosses your path; Make sure and interview plenty of Realtors and find one that works with investors, and personally invests. When you find your “Realtor Advisor” don’t go after their commission. Any good Realtor will have plenty of clients and you want to make sure that you’re not playing second fiddle to them.

5. Put Together a Business Plan, And Stick To It

The only time you can’t POSSIBLY lose money is before you invest it. That’s why putting together a solid business plan is the smartest action step you can take. Decide the type of property you plan to buy, what it will cost to purchase it, what it will cost you to hold the property, and how much income the process will produce for you. Most investors have a “formula” for buying properties - develop, borrow, or steal one. Write EVERYTHING down on paper and analyze every possible expense. Plan for the worst and anticipate how you will avoid the worst. Once you’ve put together your business plan and investing “formula” - Stick to it!!! Execution is key to successful investing.

6. When You See Something That Looks Good - Take Action!

I’ve worked with many investors that have excellent business plans, and great formulae, but who refuse to pull the trigger on something that looks good. There are MANY ways to back out of a contract, and if you hesitate when you see a good deal - another investor will already have tied the property up in their contract. In Texas , you typically pay $100 for a 10 day option period. You have 10 days to terminate the contract for ANY reason. In my opinion, not losing a good deal is well worth tying up MANY questionable deals at $100 a pop.

7. Try And Talk Yourself Out of the Deal

After you’ve put together your business plan and contracted a property, you need to look at every negative aspect of the property. Plan for the worst and hope for the best! Oftentimes, planning for the worst involves walking away from the transaction. After you’ve invested the time finding the property and the money to contract and inspect the property, you might feel emotionally invested. However, don’t let these feelings get in the way of making a smart financial decision. If you look at every possible negative that can happen in the transaction and you will still make a profit, then go for it. You can always minimize the negative variables. However, if the worst does happen, you will still have all the clothes on your back. No matter how hard it is, if it looks like you COULD lose money, walk away.

There’s big money in real estate investment, and there’s the potential for big losses, as well. Someone giving themselves the title of “investor” far from makes them an actual investor. Before you take the plunge, talk to plenty of educated investors with experience, and follow these simple steps.

 

 

January 7th Radio Show: Happy New Years!

January 7th, 2007 . by Mike Kelly

Friends,

  My oh my, Thank Heaven it is 2007!! This is my mantra for the year. 2006 was UNBELIVEABLE!! That blows both ways. Rates are still at historic lows and the paymentment between 5.75% and today’s low rates of 6.125 ain’t that much different. Don’t be one of those who has to have sub 6’s to go forward with your purchase or refinance.

  Our sage of Denver, Lou Barnes, thinks the fed is poised to raise the fed rate up .25%. Good economic news is bad for rates but good for us! Or is that reverse? I’ll talk about this more on today’s show. We’re going to have Alicia Hodenfield of Investor’s Trust on the show this morning to give us some guidance on those LOW, LOW teaser and very seductive, Option Adjustables Rate Mortages!! Be careful of these puppies. One guy is now advertising starting rates as low as 1/4%!!! Yes, a quarter of one percent! The negative amortization on that is spectacular and finacially deadly!! She’ll be talking about that and more.

  Tune us in and for all your real estate needs, be it a Market Analysis of your property or to buyer in this great “Deal of a market’ give me a shout: 322-8503 or toll free in the nation: 800-959-7244. See you on the Radio!

Happy Thanksgiving Weekend Show! “I’ll Be Home Before Xmas!”

November 26th, 2006 . by Mike Kelly

  Yes, it’s that time of year again when we begin our count down to Xmas and start playing our favorite ditty for the Season: “I’ll be Home for Xmas”. And you can!! We’ve got plenty of time to get you in. As of today’s count we have exactly 27 days to get you approved, find you a house, do our inspections, fund the loan and close by December 22nd which is the last Friday before Xmas day which falls on December 25th!! Can we do it! Piece of Cake! Read the rest of this entry »

This Week’s Radio Show!From the Convention Floor–National Associaton of Realtors

November 12th, 2006 . by Mike Kelly

Good morning!! How was the Real Estate Show this morning!!?? I’m writing this blog from the Best Buy booth at the National Association of Realtors trade show and exposition in New Orleans!! This trade show is one of the largest in the nation as our association is THE largest trade organization extant. Over 25,000 of us are here in New Orleans to network, learn new ideas to market your properties and help this beleagured city. Read the rest of this entry »

Today’s Radio Show: November 5, 2006 “It Still IS the Economy Stupid!”

November 5th, 2006 . by Mike Kelly

Listeners,

  Today we’ll discuss in more detail a number of disturbing forecasts for Real Estate here in Sonoma County. Dr. Chris Thornberg who cut his economic forecasting teeth with the UCLA School of Economics, has now gone out on his own with the “Beacon Group”. He was the guest of our own Sonoma County Economic Development Board and gave his annual forecast of the economy for California. A large component of this annual forecast is the real estate market. I’ve published the Press Democrat article also on the blog so check it out. I’ll give you my take on this and our CAR (California Assoc. of Realtors) annual forecast. Read the rest of this entry »

Radio Show–October 29th–Trick or Treat time!! Is this our New Market?

October 29th, 2006 . by Mike Kelly

Happy almost Halloween! Our current market is full of Tricks AND Treats!! The tricks are those folks who bought at the last moment of our Bull market and now find themselves over their heads! How? Paying way to much to get the property as was the case in some of the “feeding frenzy” which was the height of the market and then adding even more in order to obtain credit back for closing costs. They then took the “option ARM” loan program and are now paying Negative Amortization loans (see my separate post on this!) and are paying the least expensive “option” of less than interest only. More...

 

  What happened? The market has declined a solid 8-10% in price since those go-go days. They have been making payments which don’t even cover the interest only part of the loan; hence they have been accruing the unpaid interest onto the principal amount (loan balance). Couple this with a 3 year “pre-payment” penalty, re-casting of credit cards at the turn of 2006 (increasing their debt burden) and you find someone who’s probably out trick or treating to get a meal!!

  Our topic on the show today was all about declining values, sales and price appreciation expectations. The California Association of Realtors (CAR) has realized their prediction of dramatic sales declines. How about 31% over this time last year!! Our medium in Sonoma County has dropped from $590,000 in October of 2005 to $560,000 for October 2006. Sales are off in excess of 30% also. Time to sell a house in this market? Now at 90 days on the market. Not the usual put it on the market and wait a week for the offers to pile up! Now I’m having my SELLERS writing letters to a prospective buyer as to why their home should be considered by them. Pendulum swings like a pendulum do!

  We also had Keller Williams Realtor, Grace Lucero, on the show today. She lives and works in Cloverdale and works the North County area. She sells commercial, residential, land and estate properties. We just closed a lovely property in the Dry Creek Valley for $1,700,000. It was on the market for over a year and had been first listed at $3,500,000!!! She has a historic home on the market now in Cloverdale; The summer residence of Colonel Armstrong. Think Armstrong Redwoods Park. Price is $1,300,000 and has 3 parcels in total and 3 residences. Grace can be reached at 888-2649. Hope you enjoyed the show!! Please post a reply or give us some feedback. Oh by the way, Temple finally won a football game!! Our big blowout College football score of the week did NOT have them on the loosing side for once! They broke a 20 game loosing streak!! Now let’s try and turn this market around. Hear me next week and if you wish to chat about YOUR real estate needs—707-322-8503 or Toll Free in the nation: 800-959-7244.

Sunday October 15th show

October 15th, 2006 . by Mike Kelly

 Good morning! Join me this morning as we bring back Mr. Pete Phillippe of Countrywide Home Mortgage. Pete will share with us the latest up-tick in interest rates due to the increase in the 10-year Treasury bill which is now hovering near 4.80%. This is one of those “key” indicators for the trend in interest rates. If you go to www.inman.com you’ll be able to read Lou Barnes column today. Lou discusses the overall economy but with a particular interest in the interest rate sector.

  He can be a bit “ready” at times but hang in there as his information is vital to your move in this market. Also on the show will be Shawn Hermosillo (206-4534 direct office line). He’s a young Realtor at Keller Williams and will share his market observations with you. More will follow this posting after the show shakes out! Thanks for listening and please make a post to the show as this site has been developed for YOU the listener to respond to the show.

Sunday October 8th Radio Program

October 15th, 2006 . by Mike Kelly

  I wanted to make sure you all can go to www.52balmalane.com and preview the lovely new listing I feature there. This home just got new carpeting and the Sellers are doing everything “right” in the way of preparing the home for marketing. One of the items I asked Mrs. Petersen to do is write a letter to the prospective new homeowner. I was so impressed by this letter that I decided to publish it here unedited. It is emotional but splendid in it narrative. I know Mrs. Petersen will be embarrassed at drawing attention to this letter but we have it available to convey the care and love this home has recieved over the years. Here it is:

 

Dear Prospective New Homeowner,
          Selling our home has been a long and difficult decision.  We built our home, have made good friends in the neighborhood, raised our 2 children and love it here.More...

          We bought our property in September 1985 and began designing our “dream home”.  One major decision we made was to set the house a bit back on the lot so that we would have a view and wouldn’t look at a neighbor’s house.  And to site the house at an angle to deflect the breezes that come through the Petaluma Gap of the Costal foothills.  (This has made our deck usable, whereas our neighbors’ decks face into the wind.)  So, construction began in earnest in March of 1987.  It was an exciting time – we lived in an old 1953 40’ long travel trailer situated just where the lawn edges the pathway in front of the privet hedge in the back yard!  We did a lot of the work ourselves: installed the cabinets, did the tile work, stained, varnished & installed all of the trim, put up the siding, painted – then collapsed!!
          It is hard to pick any one part of our house that we love the best.  We really love it all!  Our open floor plan and all of natural light would probably top the list.  You never need to turn a light on during the day with all of the light from the transom windows and deck skylights.  And having an open living area is great for everything from sitting and watching the fire in the glass-door Lopi woodstove, to watching the kids play while you are in the kitchen, to entertaining with ease.  We have had small dinners with friends, larger gatherings with both of our families and 50 people here for a party!  All types of entertainment work in our home.  And our large covered deck (12’ x 35’) is perfect for having more entertaining space or a BBQ year-‘round.  The deck was built with this in mind – we installed a hood over the stainless steel barbeque and a roof vent to draw cooking smoke off the deck.  The deck is a great place to enjoy a cup of coffee in the morning or a glass of wine at the end of the day.  The pastoral views are so peaceful.  The steps and ramp leading to the backyard encourage you to get out there for a game of croquet!
          Our kitchen has always been a gathering spot.  And when we remodeled it in 2003 it only got better!  We love the warm colors; the long counter on the island that makes a perfect buffet.  The customized cupboards (a mixer cupboard, appliance garage and wicker pull-out baskets are just a few) from KraftMaid are hickory and the Dynasty cabinets from Omega are stained a rich red.  The butcher block counter and the black Richlite counters round out our gourmet kitchen.  The 2 ovens make cookie-baking a breeze - one even opens from the side rather than opening down so you don’t lean or reach over a hot door!  Our Jenn-Air downdraft ceramic top range was easy to get used to.  And we use the adjacent pot-filler all of the time.  Our Swanstone sink with integrated drainboard is just as great as we knew it would be!  The Mannington laminate flooring in Australian Cypress runs into the dining room and the home office.
Our office is not just an office.  Although it has 2 phone lines, a large file cabinet and a computer work area (we have high-speed cable internet too) in the desk area that lines one wall, there are shelves for cookbooks and cupboards for office and pantry items.  An area closest to the garage door is where we have our freezer.  A wine bar, complete with a wine rack and large cupboard for glasses, sits next to our soda refrigerator and wine cooler.  A glass door with an etched pantry design can be pulled closed for privacy or decorating impact.
          We designed our master bedroom to be roomy enough for a sitting area.  Little did we know that in raising a family there is very little chance for parents to escape!  The bay window and large French door bring the morning sun.  We remodeled the master bathroom in 2000.  It is complete with 2 large closets with floor-to-ceiling sliding glass doors and a 4-foot wide, ceiling-height wardrobe.  All of our clothes are able to be in our bathroom, making getting ready in the morning easier.  Our Swanstone barrier-free shower has a raised shower head and a second adjustable hand-held shower head for versatility, a fold-down seat and grab bars along with the Kohler shower door.  The vanity is Kraftmaid hickory cabinets topped with a Swanstone integrated sink and an off-set Kohler single-lever faucet.  Just outside the bedroom doors in the hall is the laundry room.
Our vegetable garden was not our first landscape venture.  Before we built our home we put in the well and planted the photinias and eucalyptus along the road.  There was just bare land here when we bought the lot.  We had the raised beds in the garden from the beginning, bringing in topsoil and compost to begin.  It seemed so silly to buy dirt when we owned an acre!  We have grown strawberries, potatoes, beans & peas, squash, pumpkins & corn.  We also have asparagus (that we let go wild for the last few years), raspberries, wild blackberries by the road, apples, peaches, pears and a pomegranate tree.  Growing more than food, we also have roses, butterfly bushes, jasmine and a large archway into the garden covered with wisteria.  Our front yard, bordered by an escalonia hedge and redwood trees, is complete with roses, ferns, a beautiful red rhododendron, wild garlic and various other perennials.  We are visited by goldfinches, bluebirds, towhees, bush tits, hummingbirds, black phoebes, and woodpeckers throughout the year.  A crape myrtle, butterfly bush, hydrangeas and lavender give us color all summer.  The ramp that curves around to our covered front porch branches out near the small pond and fountain to a sitting area complete with chimenea.
Around the side of our house is an entirely different work area that has seen a lot of use.  We have a 24’ x 40’ shop building.  Tall enough to drive an RV into, it also has a 12’ x 12’ room inside that we’ve used for storage and as a workshop.  This supplements the work area that we have in our attached 3-car garage, where we converted the 1-car section into a large work area, complete with tool bench and lots of shelving.  We round out our storage capacity with two large shelving areas in the part of the garage closest to the house and a loft that is perfect for storing our Christmas decorations!
Wow!  Talking this through for you has been an experience in itself.  We will clearly miss our home, but trust that it’s new owners will experience the fun, the challenge, the pride, and the comfort of this home as much as we have.  We wish you many years of happiness in your new home.
Sincerely,
The Petersen Family

 

October 1, 2006 Radio Show

September 29th, 2006 . by Mike Kelly

  Excuse me for not putting up the last couple of radio shows but I was at the Monterey Festival and then at the Keller Williams “Mega Camp” and had to leave early Sunday morning. Last week’s show was taped. This week I’ll have Pete Phillippee join me again and we’ll be discussing the the great interest rates and this shifting market. I’ve written other posts regarding the latest economic predictions for the market from our chief California Association of Realtors economist, Leslie Appleton-Young and also the National Association of Realtors, David Lereah. We’ll be discussing in more detail where this market is going and what the long term predictions others are saying. Read the rest of this entry »

This Week’s Show: September 9th, 2006 Is the Sky REALLY Falling?

September 10th, 2006 . by Mike Kelly

Today on the show is a mixed bag. We’ll be talking home pricing (what else is everyone talking about!!). Plus my “Tales from the Trenches”–it’s getting to be a war out there! But here is a link to a study by the OFHEO which you must read! The Study is by the Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight (Whew! Say that fast 7 times!). I’ve quoted this web site many times in the past on the radio show. It is a portend of things to come. These are the folks who had the landmark study stating that many “Boom” markets don’t bust at all but go on long “flat” runs and then eventually take off again. But go to Lou Barnes column today and read his “take” on this data. It is eye-opening. I’ll touch on it and give you my “local” take on the show. Read the rest of this entry »

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